Eleven days before the election, single-seat scenarios in the federal senate are being worked out in ballot intentions with surprises in some regions. In the Federal District, two ministers of President Jair Bolsonaro compete for the vote in the Casa Alta with the advantage of Flavia Arruda (PL). But every day she sees a sharp drop in the gap with the second-best in the polls, Damares Alves (Republicans). In Paraná, former leader Álvaro Diaz (Podé), who is seeking re-election, is already in a technical draw with former Lava Jato judge Sergio Moro (UB), who appears in front of the former godfather in some polls. Today they are broken. In Rio Grande do Sul, General and Vice President Hamilton Murao (Republicans) sees Ana Amelia (Progressives) on his tail. It will be another intense fight, without a favorite. On the national stage, while IPEC (formerly Ibope) widens the gap between Lula da Silva (Portugal) and Bolsonaro (Poland), Parana Pesquisas, who has made little mistake in recent years, released a new national poll yesterday, in which the president is close to PT with a difference of only four points.

Bolsonarist autophagy

A curious list war surrounds WhatsApp groups. Bolsonaro’s supporters have published in one of the largest application groups in Brazil the first list with the names of candidates for the House and Senate who support the re-election of the president. The list circulates, and every hour an edited list appears with new names in place of others. In Piauí, the names alternate between government candidates Diego Melo (PL) and Silvio Méndez (UB). In Goias, in the case of the Senate, between Joao Campos (Republicans) and Wilder Morais (PL). In DF, between Ibaneis (MDB) and Coronel Moreno (PTB). Still in Brasilia the most cited names are Flavia Arruda x Damares and in the Chamber of Deputies Bia Kichis (PL) x Professor Paulo Fernando (Republicans).

look at bills

Charging by @izanio_charges

Presidential candidates have warned of a difficult 2023 in non-election speeches related to austerity and fiscal tightening. This is already a fait accompli. Brazilian household debt reached 79% in August, the highest since 2010, according to a survey conducted by the National Confederation of Trade in Goods, Services and Tourism. According to the survey, 22% of Brazilians spend more than 50% of their income. Look at the bills.

Renan x Kollor

Alagoas is living through an old reprint of a clan dispute for state power. Senator Renan Callheiros (MDB) is one of the main critics of President Jair Bolsonaro. But Renan spared Bolsonaro’s candidate in Alagoas, Senator Fernando Collor (PTB). Because Collor is among the main candidates for the government causes the most rejection. In other words: he is the easiest candidate that Renan’s candidate, buffer governor Paulo Dantas, can beat in a possible second round.

Port$full$

Brazilian ports are working “to the fullest”. According to the Statistical Office of the National Water Transport Agency (ANTAQ), July ended with a positive balance, increasing the cargo turnover by 2.23% compared to the same period in 2021 and amounting to 109.7 million tons. Particular attention is paid to general cargo with an increase in loading by 8.33% due to an increase in demand for pulp (13.7%), iron ore (2.9%) and corn (54.2%).

quotas

Bolsonaro and Rio de Janeiro governor Claudio Castro (LP) go out together, but not much. While the federal government has been accused of racism for changing public tenders to reduce the number of approved blacks, the state has extended quotas for blacks and natives until 2081.